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Does BRRRR Still Work in 2026?

Plug in your numbers. See where the deal breaks before you buy. Free, no signup required.

Try a sample:
Monthly Cash Flow
-$9
-$107/year
Bleeding cash monthly. Numbers need to change.
Cash-on-Cash Return
-0.1%
On $84,000 invested
Negative yield. Losing money before you sell.
Mortgage Payment
$1,497
$225,000 loan | 7.0%
Standard ratio. Watch vacancy carefully.
Annualized ROI
5.1%
Over 5 years
Below stock-market average. Question whether the time pays off.

Base Case: Monthly Cash Flow

Effective Rent (after vacancy)
$2,208/mo
Operating Expenses
$600/mo
+ $120 capex reserve
Net Operating Income
$1,488/mo
Mortgage Payment (P&I)
$1,497/mo

Exit Analysis

Total Cash Invested
$84,000
$75,000 down + $9,000 closing
Projected Sale Price (Year 5)
$347,782
3.0%/yr appreciation
Net Sale Proceeds
$108,164
After mortgage payoff + 8% sell costs
Total Profit
$23,628
Cash flow + sale proceeds - invested
Small profit. Better than a loss, worse than the market.
Cash Flow Over Hold
-$536
Effective Hourly Rate
$79/hr
Assumes 5 hrs/mo management (300 total hrs)
Above median professional wage. Time well spent.

Stress Test

Where does this deal break?

Each cell shows monthly cash flow and cash-on-cash return under different scenarios. Green is strong, gold is marginal, red means the deal loses money. Click any cell to set it as your new base case and see the deal re-pivot.

Positive cash flow, 8%+ CoC Positive cash flow, sub-8% CoC Negative cash flow

Interest Rate vs. Vacancy

Rate \ VacancyBase+5%+10%+15%
Base-$9/mo
-0.1% CoC
-$129/mo
-1.8% CoC
-$249/mo
-3.6% CoC
-$369/mo
-5.3% CoC
+1%-$163/mo
-2.3% CoC
-$283/mo
-4.0% CoC
-$403/mo
-5.8% CoC
-$523/mo
-7.5% CoC
+2%-$322/mo
-4.6% CoC
-$442/mo
-6.3% CoC
-$562/mo
-8.0% CoC
-$682/mo
-9.7% CoC
+3%-$487/mo
-7.0% CoC
-$607/mo
-8.7% CoC
-$727/mo
-10.4% CoC
-$847/mo
-12.1% CoC

Rent Decline vs. Expense Increase

Rent \ ExpensesBase+10%+20%+30%
Base-$9/mo
-0.1% CoC
-$69/mo
-1.0% CoC
-$129/mo
-1.8% CoC
-$189/mo
-2.7% CoC
-5%-$113/mo
-1.6% CoC
-$173/mo
-2.5% CoC
-$233/mo
-3.3% CoC
-$293/mo
-4.2% CoC
-10%-$218/mo
-3.1% CoC
-$278/mo
-4.0% CoC
-$338/mo
-4.8% CoC
-$398/mo
-5.7% CoC
-15%-$322/mo
-4.6% CoC
-$382/mo
-5.5% CoC
-$442/mo
-6.3% CoC
-$502/mo
-7.2% CoC

The BRRRR method in a high-rate environment.

BRRRR stands for Buy, Rehab, Rent, Refinance, Repeat. You buy distressed below market, force value through renovation, rent for cash flow, refinance at the new appraised value to recover capital, and repeat with the freed funds. The strategy built portfolios when rates sat at 3-4%. In 2026, rates hover near 7% and DSCR requirements are tighter.

The method still works, but the margin for error is smaller. Deals that penciled at 4% may bleed cash at 7.5%. The question is not whether BRRRR is dead. The question is whether your specific deal survives stress.

Operator rule

If the stress grid is red at base case, walk away.

A deal that bleeds cash before rates move or vacancy spikes is not an investment. It is a bet on appreciation bailing you out.

buy
deep
stress
test
hold
if green

margin for error is smaller than 2020-2021

Refinance rates
+300-400bp

Refinance rates are 300-400 basis points higher than the 2020-2021 window. Your post-refi mortgage is significantly larger.

DSCR requirements
1.2x+

Where 1.0x coverage used to fly, many lenders now require 1.2x or higher. Your NOI needs more headroom above the payment.

Appreciation
~3%

The days of 8-10% annual price gains that bailed out thin deals are over in most zip codes. You cannot rely on appreciation alone.

How to stress test a deal.

Most calculators show you the best case. The stress test grids above show you where the deal breaks. They cross two variables at a time: interest rate vs. vacancy, and rent decline vs. expense increase.

Click any cell to re-pivot the entire calculator to that scenario. The goal is not to find deals that look good on paper. The goal is to find deals that survive reality.

Entire grid green100%
Survives +1% rate, +5% vacancy75%
Base case only40%
Red at base case5%

Deal resilience spectrum. The more green cells survive in the stress grid, the more room you have for reality to differ from your model.

A real 4-plex BRRRR analysis.

Click the "BRRRR 4-plex" preset above. That deal is real: a 4-unit property purchased at $130,000 with $108,000 in rehab, financed at 7% with 25% down.

At base case, cash flow is marginally negative. Add 2% to rates and push vacancy to 15%, and the deal is deeply red. The stress test would have shown this before closing.

Three partners splitting a thin deal meant each person earned less than minimum wage for the management hours involved.

Purchase + rehab
$130K purchase, $108K rehab, $280K ARV. 75% LTV refi recovered most capital.
Effective hourly
~$6/hr per partner. $15K profit over 4.5 years split three ways. Below minimum wage for time invested.
Lesson
Thin deals with multiple partners compress returns to the point where the hourly math does not justify the risk.

Stress test 16 scenarios in the time it takes to open a spreadsheet.

Spreadsheets are flexible but slow. You build every formula, and scenario analysis requires manually changing cells one at a time. This calculator crosses two variables across a 4x4 grid, color-codes the results, and lets you click any cell to repivot the entire analysis. No formulas to break, no files to manage, no signup required.

Frequently asked questions.

What is the BRRRR method in real estate?

BRRRR stands for Buy, Rehab, Rent, Refinance, Repeat. It is a real estate investment strategy where you purchase a distressed property below market value, renovate it to increase its value, rent it out for cash flow, refinance based on the new higher appraised value to pull out your initial capital, and repeat the process with the recovered funds.

How do you calculate cash-on-cash return for a BRRRR deal?

Cash-on-cash return is your annual pre-tax cash flow divided by the total cash you invested. For a BRRRR deal, your total cash invested includes down payment, closing costs, and rehab budget. After refinancing, your net cash left in the deal may be lower, which can dramatically increase your cash-on-cash return, sometimes to infinity if you recover all your capital.

Does BRRRR still work with 7%+ interest rates?

Yes, but the margin of error is smaller. Higher rates compress post-refi cash flow. Stress test every deal at current rates plus 1-2% before committing. If the stress grid turns red with a small rate increase, the deal is too fragile for this environment. Buy deeper, rehab smarter, and target markets with strong rent-to-price ratios.

What vacancy rate should I use for stress testing?

A common baseline is 5-8% vacancy for stable rental markets. For stress testing, model scenarios at 10%, 15%, and even 20% to see where your deal breaks. Markets with higher turnover, seasonal demand, or economic volatility warrant higher vacancy assumptions.

How much should I budget for rehab?

Rehab budgets vary widely by property condition and market. A light cosmetic rehab might cost $15,000-$30,000, while a full gut renovation can exceed $100,000. Always get contractor bids before committing. Add a 10-20% contingency buffer. The key BRRRR metric is whether the after-repair value (ARV) supports a refinance that recovers your rehab costs.

What is a good cash-on-cash return?

Most investors target 8-12% cash-on-cash return as a baseline for rental properties. For BRRRR deals, returns can be much higher because you are recovering capital through refinancing, reducing your cash basis. If you recover all invested capital, your cash-on-cash return becomes infinite, though this does not mean the deal is risk-free.